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The impact of rising electricity prices on demand for photovoltaic solar systems
University of South-Eastern Norway, Norway.
Södertörn University, School of Social Sciences, Economics.ORCID iD: 0000-0001-7091-1449
2025 (English)In: Energy Economics, ISSN 0140-9883, E-ISSN 1873-6181, Vol. 147, article id 108583Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Since 2012, there are four different electricity price zones in Sweden, although not until 2021 a clear deviating development can be identified. The aim of this study is to investigate the impact of the regional electricity price divergence starting in 2021 on the demand for solar photovoltaic installations in municipalities in the Southern and Central parts of Sweden. Methodologically, the analysis employs a panel Poisson estimator that accounts for the skewed distribution of the dependent variables including zero values. Data include all 290 municipalities from 2016 to 2023. Estimation results show that the increase in electricity prices in the South of Sweden leads to a surge in the number of solar photovoltaic (PV) installations of 25 % per year from 2021 onwards on average relative to the low-price zone in the North of Sweden and the base period 2016 to 2020. In the case of Central Sweden which is also in the high price zone, the estimates show an increase of 15 % per year on average. Thus, the findings suggest that households react to price incentives by trying to be independent of the electricity market and its fluctuating prices. Similar results are achieved when the installed capacity in megawatts is used as a dependent variable instead of the number of installations. Rising electricity prices explain less than half of the increase in demand for solar photovoltaics over time. A vast majority is related to the time effects.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025. Vol. 147, article id 108583
Keywords [en]
Difference-in-differences techniques, Electricity prices, Municipalities, Solar photovoltaic adoption, Sweden, Cost benefit analysis, Photovoltaic effects, Power markets, Difference techniques, Difference-in-difference technique, Difference-in-differences, Differences-in-differences, Municipality, Price zone, Solar photovoltaics, demand analysis, electricity supply, incentive, photovoltaic system, price dynamics, solar system, Poisson distribution
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-57330DOI: 10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108583ISI: 001498530700003Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-105005418247OAI: oai:DiVA.org:sh-57330DiVA, id: diva2:1963511
Available from: 2025-06-03 Created: 2025-06-03 Last updated: 2025-10-07Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
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Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • harvard-anglia-ruskin-university
  • apa-old-doi-prefix.csl
  • sodertorns-hogskola-harvard.csl
  • sodertorns-hogskola-oxford.csl
  • Other style
More styles
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  • de-DE
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  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
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