Highlighted for their potential, yet conspicuously absent: Why the forest industry chose not to participate in the first reverse auction for BECCS support
2025 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (Two Years)), 20 credits / 30 HE credits
Student thesis
Abstract [en]
Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS) has emerged as a central climate mitigation measure in the IPCC scenarios that limit global warming to under 2 or 1.5 °C. Sweden is considered to have especially favorable conditions for BECCS due to large point sources of biogenic emissions. When alternatives were assessed to identify suitable measures to generate negative emissions to reach Sweden’s 2045 net-zero target, BECCS was identified to hold the potential to generate the largest amount of negative emissions. To realize BECCS, Sweden choose reverse auctions to distribute financial support. The first reverse auction was held during the end of 2024. Despite being identified as the sector with the greatest potential for BECCS in volume terms, the forest industry did not participate. Considering the potential implications of this outcome for Swedish climate policy, this master thesis provides a timely insight into why forest companies chose to abstain from the reverse auction and their general view on BECCS. In an effort to understand how Swedish forest policy might have influenced their attitude, the results are analyzed using a theoretical framework based on policy-feedback theory. The results reveal that some reasons to abstain are common to actors from many sectors, including the forest companies: General challenges and uncertainties of the BECCS-sector, and shortcomings of the reverse auction. Perspectives unique to the forest companies were also identified: The great potential of the forest industry is emphasized, but lacking incentives to improve climate performance, private ownership, and lack of capture technology prevent realization. Based on the theoretical framework, the following conclusions are proposed regarding the presence of policy feedback: BECCS harmonizes well with, and constitutes a new argument for, the understanding in and implications of aspects of Swedish forest policy that forest industries benefit from and hence promote policy lock-in to. However, the favorable conditions and position the forest industry has achieved due to the view on their contribution to climate change, based on these same policies, limits their motivation to deviate from or go beyond current practices.
Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2025. , p. 55
Keywords [en]
Bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (BECCS), Policy feedback, Forest industry, Forest policy, Sustainability transitions, Carbon dioxide removal (CDR)
National Category
Environmental Studies in Social Sciences
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-58269OAI: oai:DiVA.org:sh-58269DiVA, id: diva2:2008101
Subject / course
Environmental Science
Supervisors
Examiners
2025-10-222025-10-222025-10-22Bibliographically approved