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Title [en]
Unravelling the relative influence of climate and land-use change on nitrogen retention in Baltic Sea coastal sediments over the last 300 years
Abstract [en]
Eutrophication is a major environmental threat to the Baltic Sea, which have resulted in widespread “dead bottoms”, ecosystem shifts and undesirable environmental states. As the coastal zone is a barrier for nutrient discharge from land, the coastal ecosystems play a crucial role in eutrophication mitigation. However, the Baltic Sea coastal habitats have, during the last 300 years, experienced increased pressure from climate change and continuous anthropogenic exploitation. The relative impact from climate- and land-use change on the nitrogen trapping and storage in coastal sediments is not known and their effects needs to be disentangled in order to make adequate management and conservation decisions now and in the future. The overall aim of the project is, therefore, to separately assess the contribution from climate change (i.e. changes in precipitation) and land-use change on coastal sediment accumulation rates and nitrogen storage in shallow seagrass meadows (Zostera marina) and deeper unvegetated sediments, and predict future nitrogen storage capacity in relation to the separate and cumulative effects of these two environmental drivers. I will test this by applying different palaeo-proxies, including stable isotopes, pollen data and X-ray fluorescence spectrometry, as well as analysis of historical precipitation data and cadastral maps. The information from the historical data reconstruction will be used for statistical modelling on future nitrogen storage capacity.
Publications (10 of 13) Show all publications
Dahl, M., Braun, S., Asplund, M. E., Björk, M., Kaal, J., Linderholm, H. W., . . . Gullström, M. (2026). Coastal land uplift and intensified land-use influence seagrass carbon and nitrogen sink capacity over millennial timescales. Scientific Reports, 16(1), Article ID 16263.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Coastal land uplift and intensified land-use influence seagrass carbon and nitrogen sink capacity over millennial timescales
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2026 (English)In: Scientific Reports, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 16, no 1, article id 16263Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Seagrass meadows store sedimentary carbon and nitrogen and thus play an important role in climate change mitigation and nutrient retention globally. Here we reconstruct the impact of land-use and coastal land uplift on millennial–scale seagrass (Zostera marina) blue carbon and nitrogen accumulation in the Baltic Sea based on a multiproxy paleoreconstruction approach. We show that increased landscape clearance resulted in higher terrestrial runoff and increased accumulation of carbon and nitrogen, whereas land uplift led to hydrodynamically sheltered environments facilitating seagrass colonization, occurring 1700 and > 4000 years ago. The establishment of the seagrass meadows resulted in enhancement of the quality of carbon and nitrogen stocks with increased lignin contents. Seagrass establishment also likely supported export of organic matter to surrounding unvegetated areas and thereby contributed to carbon and nitrogen accumulation beyond habitat boundaries. The findings show that the long-term carbon and nitrogen accumulation rates and permanence are shaped by land cultivation and geomorphological changes and highlights the importance of seagrass conservation for maintaining thousands of years of sedimentary carbon and nitrogen storage.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2026
Keywords
Blue carbon, Baltic sea, Zostera marina, Land-use, Coastal change, Paleoreconstruction
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Baltic and East European studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-60193 (URN)10.1038/s41598-026-54674-y (DOI)001778027800002 ()42191823 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-105040409244 (Scopus ID)
Funder
The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 21‐GP‐0005The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 21‐PD2‐0002The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 55/2017Swedish Research Council Formas, 2021‐0128
Available from: 2026-06-03 Created: 2026-06-03 Last updated: 2026-09-02Bibliographically approved
Dahl, M., Asplund, M. E., Björk, M., Bergman, S., Braun, S., Forsberg, S., . . . Gullström, M. (2025). Evaluating seagrass lipid biomarkers as indicator for organic carbon provenance and storage capacity in Zostera marina (L.) sediments. Science of the Total Environment, 959, Article ID 178324.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Evaluating seagrass lipid biomarkers as indicator for organic carbon provenance and storage capacity in Zostera marina (L.) sediments
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2025 (English)In: Science of the Total Environment, ISSN 0048-9697, E-ISSN 1879-1026, Vol. 959, article id 178324Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Seagrass meadows are vital blue carbon habitats, with sedimentary organic carbon (OC) originating from both the seagrass itself and external sources. In this study, lipid biomarkers (n-alkanes), a well-known proxy for tracing OC sources, were used to indicate seagrass presence in sediment records and to correlate with sedimentary OC in cold-temperate seagrass (Zostera marina) sediments. We calculated a Zostera-ratio (seagrass/algae and terrestrial plants-ratio) using identified seagrass biomass n-alkanes (C15, C17, C19, C21, C23) as a fingerprint for seagrass-derived OC. Based on the presence or absence of seagrass plant remains in sediments, we confirmed an overall significant positive correlation (R2 = 0.49, with significant sites ranging from 0.66 to 0.81; p < 0.001) between the Zostera-ratio and OC in sediment profiles down to 2 m depth. The Zostera-ratio ranged from 0.0006 to 0.35 with higher values indicating seagrass plant material. The findings show that n-alkanes can serve as proxies for both seagrass presence and total OC levels in the sediment. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025
Keywords
Blue carbon, Carbon sources, Eelgrass, n-Alkanes, Skagerrak, Biomarkers, Carbon, Environmental Monitoring, Geologic Sediments, Lipids, Water Pollutants, Chemical, Zosteraceae, Atlantic Ocean, North Sea, Plant diseases, alkane, biological marker, lignin, lipid, organic carbon, Carbon source, Lipid biomarkers, Organics, Seagrasses, Zostera, Zostera marina, biomarker, marine sediment, seagrass, seagrass meadow, Article, biomass, controlled study, eutrophication, habitat, microbial diversity, nonhuman, plant, sediment, storage, chemistry, procedures, water pollutant, Biotic
National Category
Other Earth Sciences Geochemistry
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-56351 (URN)10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.178324 (DOI)39756295 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-85213981317 (Scopus ID)
Funder
The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 2958The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 2787Swedish Research Council Formas, 2991
Note

Article; Export Date: 05 February 2025; Cited By: 0; Correspondence Address: M. Dahl; School of Natural Sciences, Technology and Environmental Studies, Södertörn University, Huddinge, Sweden; email: martin.dahl@sh.se; CODEN: STEVA

Available from: 2025-02-06 Created: 2025-02-06 Last updated: 2025-10-07Bibliographically approved
Katrantsiotis, C., Vinogradova, O., Dahl, M., Palm, V., Rönnby, J., Gaillard, M.-J., . . . Andrén, E. (2025). Holocene shoreline displacement, land-cover change and human settlement distribution on the southeast coast of Sweden. Journal of Quaternary Science, 40(1), 124-140
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Holocene shoreline displacement, land-cover change and human settlement distribution on the southeast coast of Sweden
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2025 (English)In: Journal of Quaternary Science, ISSN 0267-8179, E-ISSN 1099-1417, Vol. 40, no 1, p. 124-140Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this study, we investigate the interplay between relative sea-level changes, the development of human settlements and land-cover changes in the Vastervik-Gamlebyviken region on the southeast coast of Sweden, an important archaeological area from the Mesolithic until recent times. The reconstruction of shore displacement was based on diatom analysis of radiocarbon-dated sediment cores from three lake basins combined with previously published lake isolation data. The resulting curve was used to construct palaeogeographical maps for selected time windows. Land-cover changes were inferred from pollen data from three lakes using the Landscape Reconstruction Algorithm with its two models REVEALS and LOVE. Our data suggest that people took advantage of the land gained due to an overall fall in relative sea level from similar to 35 to similar to 3 metres above sea level (m a.s.l.) over the last 10 000 years, interrupted by periods of transgression and highstands. A sea-level regression of similar to 16 m occurred between 10 000 and 8500 cal a BP followed by an similar to 3-4-m sea-level rise, reaching similar to 22 m a.s.l. at similar to 7500 cal a BP, which corresponds to the maximum Littorina Sea shoreline in the area. The available archaeological findings for the Mesolithic and Early Neolithic (8950-5450 cal a BP) agree well with the shore displacement curve showing that settlements and human activities were concentrated along or above the shorelines as defined from our study. During the transgression after 8500 cal a BP, however, seasonal settlements were submerged (as shown by findings of polished stone tools and hearths buried in sand) and used again during the subsequent regression after 4600 cal a BP. The Iron Age (2450-900 cal a BP) corresponds partly to a highstand at similar to 11 m a.s.l. between 3600 and 2000 cal a BP and partly to a rapid regression of similar to 8 m between 2000 and 1500 cal a BP, and both periods coincide with known human activities along the contemporaneous shoreline. The rapid regression after 2000 cal a BP corresponds to an increase of both regional and local landscape openness and the beginning of a continuous record of crop cultivation.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2025
Keywords
Baltic Sea, diatoms, land-use reconstruction, LOVE model, Neolithic shore displacement, REVEALS model, settlements
National Category
Archaeology Geology Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Baltic and East European studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-55207 (URN)10.1002/jqs.3666 (DOI)001344654300001 ()2-s2.0-85208045566 (Scopus ID)
Funder
The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 55/2017The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 21-PD2-0002
Available from: 2024-11-18 Created: 2024-11-18 Last updated: 2025-10-07Bibliographically approved
Wåhlström, I., Perry, D., Bergman, S., Dahl, M., Granberg, M. E., Gullström, M., . . . Thor, P. (2025). Incorporating ecosystem component interactions and indirect effects in cumulative impact assessment models. Journal of Environmental Management, 381, Article ID 125268.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Incorporating ecosystem component interactions and indirect effects in cumulative impact assessment models
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2025 (English)In: Journal of Environmental Management, ISSN 0301-4797, E-ISSN 1095-8630, Vol. 381, article id 125268Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

The cumulative impact of anthropogenic pressures on coastal seas is important to consider for a strategic and sustainable management of marine ecosystems. We aim to demonstrate how, and to what extent, incorporating interactions among ecosystem components (species and habitats) and indirect effects of pressures through other ecosystem components can develop existing cumulative impact assessment (CIA) models. A Swedish case study area was selected to test a simplified version of the extended regional Symphony CIA model. Five pollution- and climate-driven pressures acting on three trophically connected ecosystem components, i.e. cod, herring and plankton species/organism groups, were used. In addition, we conducted a systematic review of the scientific literature to determine the impact weight scores for an advancement of the method. The results from the development of CIA models clearly indicate the importance of introducing ecosystem component interactions and indirect effects into CIA models. The total cumulative impact increased by 117 % in the test area, but even more importantly, the development of the model resulted in a spatially more detailed outcome with a greater spatial variability in the magnitude of the total cumulative impact. New areas were highlighted that are under pressure compared to the original model. Thus, the development of the model captures cumulative impacts that would otherwise be overlooked if ecosystem component interactions and indirect effects were ignored. These types of changes to CIA models are required to increase the predictive power and ecological relevance to accommodate solid holistic and ecosystem-based marine management.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025
Keywords
Cumulative impact assessment models, Methodological advancements, Ecosystem component interactions, Direct and indirect effects
National Category
Ecology
Research subject
Baltic and East European studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-57000 (URN)10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.125268 (DOI)001471126600001 ()40228467 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-105002321442 (Scopus ID)
Projects
ClimPoll (Management of cumulative effects of climate change and pollution in coastal seas)
Funder
Swedish Environmental Protection Agency, NV-802-0121-19Swedish Agency for Marine and Water ManagementThe Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 21-PD2-0002
Available from: 2025-05-05 Created: 2025-05-05 Last updated: 2025-10-07Bibliographically approved
Wikström, S. A., Gubri, B., Asplund, M. E., Dahl, M., Gullström, M., Hansen, J. P., . . . Björk, M. (2025). Influence of landscape characteristics and submerged aquatic vegetation on sediment carbon and nitrogen storage in shallow brackish water habitats. Scientific Reports, 15(1), Article ID 7808.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Influence of landscape characteristics and submerged aquatic vegetation on sediment carbon and nitrogen storage in shallow brackish water habitats
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2025 (English)In: Scientific Reports, E-ISSN 2045-2322, Vol. 15, no 1, article id 7808Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

While marine seagrass habitats are acknowledged as sinks for carbon and nutrients, much less is known about sequestration in brackish-water vegetation. Here, we quantify the amount of organic carbon (C-org) and total nitrogen (TN) in shallow bay sediments (0-25 cm) in the brackish Baltic Sea and assess how it varies with morphometric isolation from the sea, catchment characteristics and abundance of brackish-water vegetation. The sedimentary C-org and TN content per surface area varied across the bay isolation gradient (mean C-org: 2500-4600 g/m(2); mean TN: 320-570 g/m(2)), with enclosed bays having the highest percentage content of C-org and TN, but low sediment density (< 0.1 g cm(3)), while open bays had more compact sediment with lower percentage content of C-org and TN. The influence of catchment and vegetation characteristics on the sediment C-org and TN content was less clear, suggesting that coastal morphology affecting hydrodynamic exposure is an important determinant of C and TN accumulation in brackish-water bays. The results show that morphometrically isolated shallow coastal areas constitute significant sinks for carbon and nitrogen, which should be considered in management and in any regional estimates of blue carbon and nutrient sequestration functions.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2025
Keywords
Blue carbon, Shallow bays, Coastal lagoons, Macrophytes, SAV
National Category
Ecology
Research subject
Baltic and East European studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-56809 (URN)10.1038/s41598-025-92217-z (DOI)001439684400040 ()40050425 (PubMedID)2-s2.0-86000691005 (Scopus ID)
Funder
The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 21-PD2-0002
Available from: 2025-03-20 Created: 2025-03-20 Last updated: 2025-12-18Bibliographically approved
Dahl, M., Lavery, P. S., Mazarrasa, I., Samper-Villarreal, J., Adame, M. F. F., Crooks, S., . . . Serrano, O. (2025). Recommendations for strengthening blue carbon science. One Earth, 8(3), Article ID 101175.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Recommendations for strengthening blue carbon science
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2025 (English)In: One Earth, ISSN 2590-3330, E-ISSN 2590-3322, Vol. 8, no 3, article id 101175Article, review/survey (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Blue carbon (BC) habitats (e.g., mangroves, tidal marshes, and seagrasses) are important CO2 sinks but are among the most threatened ecosystems on Earth. Substantial research over the last decade has quantified BC to evaluate the climate benefits associated with habitat conservation and restoration. However, the exponential growth in BC science has resulted in differing approaches that hinder comparison across studies and increase uncertainty. Here, we synthesized existing data to depict the range of uncertainty associated to different BC methodologies and argue that cumulative biases linked to multiple methodologies can result in BC estimates differing by up to 10-fold. We identified 14 common research procedures that can be improved to strengthen BC biophysical assessments and support implementation of BC projects, and outlined good practices to align research with policy, management, and ethical values. Standardization of practices will help generate high-quality BC projects that can deliver multiple co-benefits for humans and the environment.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2025
Keywords
climate change, mangrove, methodology, seagrass meadow, sediment, soil, tidal marsh
National Category
Ecology Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Baltic and East European studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-56873 (URN)10.1016/j.oneear.2025.101175 (DOI)001454371800001 ()2-s2.0-86000360905 (Scopus ID)
Funder
The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies
Note

Correspondence Address: M. Dahl; School of Natural Sciences, Technology and Environmental Studies, Södertörn University, Huddinge, Sweden; email: martin.dahl@sh.se; O. Serrano; Centro de Estudios Avanzados de Blanes, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas., Blanes, Spain; email: oserrano@ceab.csic.es

Available from: 2025-04-02 Created: 2025-04-02 Last updated: 2025-10-07Bibliographically approved
Gubri, B., Hansen, J. P., Wikström, S. A., Snickars, M., Dahl, M., Gullström, M., . . . Boström, C. (2025). Shallow Coastal Bays as Sediment Carbon and Nutrient Reservoirs in the Baltic Sea. Estuaries and Coasts, 48(5), Article ID 136.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Shallow Coastal Bays as Sediment Carbon and Nutrient Reservoirs in the Baltic Sea
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2025 (English)In: Estuaries and Coasts, ISSN 1559-2723, E-ISSN 1559-2731, Vol. 48, no 5, article id 136Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Coastal vegetated ecosystems are being increasingly recognized for their capacity to capture carbon, provide long-term biogenic storage, and alleviate nutrient pollution. To assess the ability of shallow, vegetated coastal bays to function as blue carbon and nutrient (nitrogen and phosphorus) sinks, we collected sediment cores in nine shallow enclosed bays (representative of the EU Habitats 1153 and 1154) in the archipelago areas of Sweden (Stockholm), Åland Island, and southwestern Finland. Our study showed strong uniformity of carbon and nutrient storage, substantial accumulation of carbon and nutrients, and minimal regional differences in carbon, nitrogen, and phosphorus sediment stocks. These findings are noteworthy given the large area (142 km2) the shallow enclosed bays cover and the multiple important ecosystem services they provide in the northern Baltic Sea seascape. An initial first-order estimate for the shallow bay ecosystems across the study region indicates that these ecosystems potentially store 84,000 to 430,000 t organic carbon over the top 25 cm sediment. The positive correlation between carbon and nitrogen stocks, and the potentially organically bound nature of phosphorus in sediment, suggests that climate regulation services can be managed in unison with nutrient management efforts. The findings, also considering the consistent pattern of slow sedimentation and accumulation, underscore the importance of protecting shallow coastal bays as carbon and nutrient sinks in the Baltic Sea region.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Springer Nature, 2025
Keywords
Blue carbon, Carbon and nutrient sinks, Sedimentary stocks, Sequestration rates, Shallow enclosed bays, Atlantic Ocean, Baltic Sea, Finland, Stockholm, archipelago, bay, carbon sequestration, carbon sink, coastal zone, ecosystem service, nutrient, organic carbon, sedimentary rock, sedimentation rate
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Research subject
Baltic and East European studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-57737 (URN)10.1007/s12237-025-01541-0 (DOI)001514415100001 ()2-s2.0-105008772520 (Scopus ID)
Funder
The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 21-PD2-0002The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 21-GP-0005Swedish Research Council Formas, 2021–01280
Available from: 2025-07-01 Created: 2025-07-01 Last updated: 2025-10-07Bibliographically approved
Vinogradova, O., Gaillard, M.-J., Andrén, E., Palm, V., Rönnby, J., Dahl, M., . . . Andrén, T. (2024). 3000 Years of past regional and local land-use and land-cover change in the southeastern Swedish coastal area: Early human-induced increases in landscape openness as a potential nutrient source to the Baltic Sea coastal waters. The Holocene, 34(1), 56-73
Open this publication in new window or tab >>3000 Years of past regional and local land-use and land-cover change in the southeastern Swedish coastal area: Early human-induced increases in landscape openness as a potential nutrient source to the Baltic Sea coastal waters
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2024 (English)In: The Holocene, ISSN 0959-6836, E-ISSN 1477-0911, Vol. 34, no 1, p. 56-73Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Reconstructions of past land use and related land-cover changes at local and regional scales are needed to evaluate the potential long-term impacts of land use on the coastal waters of the Baltic Sea. In this purpose, we selected the Gamleby area at the Swedish Baltic Sea coast for a case study. We use a new, high resolution pollen record from a small lake (Lillsjön) located 3.6 km NNW of the bay Gamlebyviken and detailed analysis of the available archeological data to reconstruct local land-use changes over the last 3000 years. To estimate land-cover change at local (2–3 km radius area) and regional (50 km radius area) scales we use four additional, published pollen records from two small and two large lakes (25–70 km S of Lillsjön) and the Landscape Reconstruction Algorithm, a pollen-vegetation modeling scheme. Results show that regional and local (small lakes Lillsjön and Hyttegöl) land-cover changes are comparable over the last 1500 years (Late Iron Age to present), and that landscape openness was much larger locally than regionally (difference of 20–40% cover over the last 500 years). The periods of largest potential impacts on the Gamlebyviken Bay from regional and local land use are 200–950 CE (Late Iron Age) and 1450 CE to present, and of lowest potential impacts 950–1450 CE. The question on whether the large landscape openness 1150–50 BCE and significant afforestation 50 BCE–200 CE reconstructed for Lillsjön’s area are characteristic of the Gamlebyviken region will require additional pollen records in the catchment area. 

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Sage Publications, 2024
Keywords
Archeological data, Gamlebyviken, Landscape Reconstruction Algorithm, Late Holocene, pollen analysis, REVEALS and LOVE models
National Category
Environmental Sciences Geology
Research subject
Baltic and East European studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-52570 (URN)10.1177/09596836231200433 (DOI)001084189400001 ()2-s2.0-85174272828 (Scopus ID)
Funder
The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 21-PD2-0002The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 55/2017
Available from: 2023-10-26 Created: 2023-10-26 Last updated: 2025-12-18Bibliographically approved
Dahl, M., Gullström, M., Bernabeu, I., Serrano, O., Leiva-Dueñas, C., Linderholm, H. W., . . . Mateo, M. A. (2024). A 2,000-Year Record of Eelgrass (Zostera marina L.): Colonization Shows Substantial Gains in Blue Carbon Storage and Nutrient Retention. Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 38(3), Article ID e2023GB008039.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>A 2,000-Year Record of Eelgrass (Zostera marina L.): Colonization Shows Substantial Gains in Blue Carbon Storage and Nutrient Retention
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2024 (English)In: Global Biogeochemical Cycles, ISSN 0886-6236, E-ISSN 1944-9224, Vol. 38, no 3, article id e2023GB008039Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

Assessing historical environmental conditions linked to habitat colonization is important for understanding long-term resilience and improving conservation and restoration efforts. Such information is lacking for the seagrass Zostera marina, an important foundation species across cold-temperate coastal areas of the Northern Hemisphere. Here, we reconstructed environmental conditions during the last 14,000 years from sediment cores in two eelgrass (Z. marina) meadows along the Swedish west coast, with the main aims to identify the time frame of seagrass colonization and describe subsequent biogeochemical changes following establishment. Based on vegetation proxies (lipid biomarkers), eelgrass colonization occurred about 2,000 years ago after geomorphological changes that resulted in a shallow, sheltered environment favoring seagrass growth. Seagrass establishment led to up to 20- and 24-fold increases in sedimentary carbon and nitrogen accumulation rates, respectively. This demonstrates the capacity of seagrasses as efficient ecosystem engineers and their role in global change mitigation and adaptation through CO2 removal, and nutrient and sediment retention. By combining regional climate projections and landscape models, we assessed potential climate change effects on seagrass growth, productivity and distribution until 2100. These predictions showed that seagrass meadows are mostly at risk from increased sedimentation and hydrodynamic changes, while the impact from sea level rise alone might be of less importance in the studied area. This study showcases the positive feedback between seagrass colonization and environmental conditions, which holds promise for successful conservation and restoration efforts aimed at supporting climate change mitigation and adaptation, and the provision of several other crucial ecosystem services. © 2024. The Authors.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
John Wiley & Sons, 2024
Keywords
climate change, environmental change, millennial scale, nature-based solution, paleoreconstruction, seagrass, environmental conditions, global change, regional climate, sea level change, sedimentation
National Category
Climate Science Ecology
Research subject
Environmental Studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-53746 (URN)10.1029/2023GB008039 (DOI)001181933100001 ()2-s2.0-85187910776 (Scopus ID)
Funder
The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 21-GP-0005The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 21-PD2-0002Swedish Research Council Formas, 2021-01280Helge Ax:son Johnsons stiftelse , F21-0103Modelling initiative of the Bert Bolin Centre for Climate Change
Available from: 2024-03-28 Created: 2024-03-28 Last updated: 2025-12-18Bibliographically approved
Andrén, E., Vinogradova, O., Lönn, M., Belle, S., Dahl, M., Palm, V., . . . Andrén, T. (2024). Modern land use changes drive shifts in nutrient cycling and diatom assemblages in the Baltic Sea coastal zone: A millennial perspective with a case study from Gamlebyviken, Swedish east coast. Quaternary Science Reviews, 346, Article ID 109058.
Open this publication in new window or tab >>Modern land use changes drive shifts in nutrient cycling and diatom assemblages in the Baltic Sea coastal zone: A millennial perspective with a case study from Gamlebyviken, Swedish east coast
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2024 (English)In: Quaternary Science Reviews, ISSN 0277-3791, E-ISSN 1873-457X, Vol. 346, article id 109058Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

This study aims to investigate and disentangle the impact of land use and climate variability on the Baltic Sea coastal zone from a millennial perspective. To assess the environmental status of the coastal zone we make use of siliceous microfossils (mainly diatoms), stable nitrogen and carbon isotopes, organic carbon accumulation rates, and lithological changes analyzed in a sediment core collected in Gamlebyviken, Swedish east coast, dated to cover the last 3000 years. Changes in land use and vegetation cover are modelled using pollen stratigraphical data to obtain the percentage coverage of coniferous woodland (Pinus and Picea), deciduous woodland, wetland (Cyperaceae), grassland (including Juniperus) and cropland (cereals) while changes in climatic conditions are assessed through well-documented climatic periods that have occurred in the Baltic Sea region. The reconstructed regional vegetation cover shows that already 3000 years ago, humans used the landscape for both animal husbandry (grasslands) and farming (cropland), but the impact on the Baltic coastal waters was minor. The diatom accumulation rates were quite high (similar to 3100-2600 cal yr BP) containing taxa indicative of high nutrient conditions/upwelling, and stable carbon isotopes show that the carbon was produced in the basin but did not result in elevated organic carbon accumulation rates. A gradual change to less marine conditions in Gamlebyviken from about 2500 to 1400 cal yr BP can be attributed to the ongoing land uplift which resulted in a more enclosed embayment with only a narrow inlet area today. The Medieval Climate Anomaly (1000-700 cal yr BP/950-1250 CE) is a time where extensive eutrophication is registered in the open Baltic Sea, but afforestation is recorded between 1000 and 500 cal yr BP and attributed to the expansion of spruce favored by land-use reorganization with a transition from a one-course rotation system to the three-course rotation system fully established in southern Sweden in the 13th century, and only minor environmental change is recorded in the coastal zone. The Little Ice Age is documented in our data between 400 and 250 cal yr BP/1550-1700 CE as a decrease in regional cropland (cereals) cover, possibly indicating years of poor crop harvest, and changes in the Baltic coastal zone are evidenced as low carbon and diatom accumulation rates, increase in benthic diatom taxa (low turbidity), and high abundance in diatom taxa associated with sea ice indicating a cold climate. The most significant changes occurred from about 100 cal yr BP/1850 CE up to present, with a maximum regional cover of grassland and cropland (ca. 35%) at the expense of deciduous woodland, and major changes indicative of a highly eutrophic environment recorded in the coastal zone. Organic carbon accumulation rates peaked in 1968 CE at approximately 134 g C m(2) yr(-1) before subsequently declining to present-day values of 53 g C m(2) yr(-1), mirroring a similar trend observed in diatom accumulation rates. The high organic carbon accumulation rate shows that deep unvegetated accumulation bottoms in the coastal Baltic Sea serve as carbon sinks and are worth exploring for their potential in mitigating climate change. Variation partitioning shows that 26% of the variance in the diatom assemblages is associated with land use changes. The variables grassland, cropland, and stable nitrogen isotopes are accordingly strong predictors of environmental change in the Baltic coastal zone as reflected by the diatom assemblages.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
Elsevier, 2024
Keywords
Late Holocene, Micropaleontology, Diatoms, Stable isotopes, Organic carbon accumulation rate, Pollen, REVEALS model, LOVE model, Vegetation history, Eutrophication, Bronze Age
National Category
Environmental Sciences Archaeology Geology
Research subject
Baltic and East European studies
Identifiers
urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-55812 (URN)10.1016/j.quascirev.2024.109058 (DOI)001361731100001 ()2-s2.0-85209237673 (Scopus ID)
Funder
The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 55/2017The Foundation for Baltic and East European Studies, 21-PD2-0002
Available from: 2024-12-09 Created: 2024-12-09 Last updated: 2025-10-07Bibliographically approved
Principal InvestigatorDahl, Martin
Coordinating organisation
Södertörn University
Funder
Period
2022-01-01 - 2023-12-31
Keywords [sv]
Östersjö- och Östeuropaforskning
Keywords [en]
Baltic and East European studies, Palaeoecology, Marine Ecology, Biogeochemistry
National Category
Environmental Sciences
Identifiers
DiVA, id: project:2787Project, id: 21-PD2-0002_OSS

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