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Does merger simulation work?: Evidence from the swedish analgesics market
KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium.
2016 (English)In: American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, ISSN 1945-7782, E-ISSN 1945-7790, Vol. 8, no 3, 125-164 p.Article in journal (Refereed) PublishedText
Abstract [en]

We analyze a large merger in the Swedish market for analgesics (painkillers). The merging firms raised prices by 40 percent, and some outsiders raised prices by more than 10 percent. We confront these changes with predictions from a merger simulation model. With basic supply side assumptions, the models correctly or moderately underpredict the merging firms' price increase. However, they predict a larger price increase for the smaller firm, which was not the case in practice, and they underpredict the outsiders' responses. We consider several supply side explanations: a plausible cost increase after the merger and the possibility of partial collusion.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2016. Vol. 8, no 3, 125-164 p.
National Category
URN: urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-30646DOI: 10.1257/app.20130034ISI: 000378819200005ScopusID: 2-s2.0-84977568968OAI: diva2:949486
Available from: 2016-07-20 Created: 2016-07-19 Last updated: 2016-07-22Bibliographically approved

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Björnerstedt, Jonas
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