sh.sePublications
Change search
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • harvard-anglia-ruskin-university
  • apa-old-doi-prefix.csl
  • sodertorns-hogskola-harvard.csl
  • sodertorns-hogskola-oxford.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf
Growth, Water Resilience, and Sustainability: A DSGE Model Applied to South Africa
Uppsala University / Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences / Ningbo University, China.
Södertörn University, School of Social Sciences, Economics. Stockholm School of Economics.ORCID iD: 0000-0003-0573-5287
2016 (English)In: Water Economics and Policy, ISSN 2382-624X, E-ISSN 2382-6258, Vol. 2, no 4, article id 1650022Article in journal (Refereed) Published
Abstract [en]

In this paper, we analyze a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model on how water resilience affects economic growth and dynamic welfare with special reference to South Africa. While water may become a limiting factor for future development in general, as a drought prone and water poor country with rapid population growth, South Africa may face more serious challenges for sustainable development. Using the model, we conduct numerical simulations for di¤erent parameter con…gurations with varying discount rate, climate change scenario, and the degree of uncertainty in future precipitation. We fi…nd that with sufficient capital accumulation, development may still be sustainable despite increased future water scarcity and decreased long-run sustainable welfare; While stochastic variation in precipitation has a negative effect on water resilience and the expected dynamic welfare, the e¤ect is mitigated by persistence in the precipitation pattern. With heavier time discounting and lower capital formation, however, the current welfare may not be sustained

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2016. Vol. 2, no 4, article id 1650022
Keywords [en]
Water resilience, growth, dynamic welfare, sustainability
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-29978DOI: 10.1142/S2382624X16500223ISI: 000399996100004Scopus ID: 2-s2.0-85052633941OAI: oai:DiVA.org:sh-29978DiVA, id: diva2:927604
Available from: 2016-05-12 Created: 2016-05-12 Last updated: 2020-06-29Bibliographically approved

Open Access in DiVA

No full text in DiVA

Other links

Publisher's full textScopus

Authority records

Bali Swain, Ranjula

Search in DiVA

By author/editor
Bali Swain, Ranjula
By organisation
Economics
In the same journal
Water Economics and Policy
Economics

Search outside of DiVA

GoogleGoogle Scholar

doi
urn-nbn

Altmetric score

doi
urn-nbn
Total: 329 hits
CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • harvard-anglia-ruskin-university
  • apa-old-doi-prefix.csl
  • sodertorns-hogskola-harvard.csl
  • sodertorns-hogskola-oxford.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf