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Does the price development on housing in Stockholm make sense?: An empirical analysis of a possible price bubble on the housing market of Stockholm
Södertörn University, School of Social Sciences, Economics.
2021 (English)Independent thesis Advanced level (degree of Master (One Year)), 20 credits / 30 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

The indebtedness of Swedish households has more than doubled in the last ten decades despite the implementation of a mortgage ceiling and stricter amortization requirements.

This study takes form to investigate how it is possible that debt related to housing is rising while new regulations against it has been set and how housing prices continues to increase when lending is supposed to be harder.This analysis estimates whether there are indications of an existing price bubble in the housing market of Stockholm.

It is done by testing fundamental economic factors to the price index of housing in Stockholm, to see if they support the price development. If the analysis shows that housing prices cannot be predicted by the fundamental economic factors, it is possible that the price is a self-running series1 which could be an indicator of a price bubble. If fundamental factors that are being used as control variables seem to follow the same trend as the price development of the housing market, the speculation of price bubble will be rejected.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2021. , p. 55
Keywords [en]
Toda Yamamoto approach, Granger-Causality, VAR model, Price bubbles, Swedish housing market
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-48317OAI: oai:DiVA.org:sh-48317DiVA, id: diva2:1634599
Subject / course
Economics
Presentation
, Stockholm
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2022-02-07 Created: 2022-02-02 Last updated: 2022-02-07Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • harvard-anglia-ruskin-university
  • apa-old-doi-prefix.csl
  • sodertorns-hogskola-harvard.csl
  • sodertorns-hogskola-oxford.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf