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How does a financial crash affect the Phillips curve?
Södertörn University, School of Social Sciences, Economics.
2018 (English)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

This study investigates if there is a significant Phillips curve correlation and if the tradeoff changed during the financial crisis of 2008 in countries such as Sweden, Austria and Belgium. It tries to find the evidence for a change in the tradeoff using a time series regression model. The study will first go through the different modifications that has been done to the Phillips curve and how the theory has evolved since it was originally theorized. After that the data that was used in the regression is examined and evaluated.

The regression on the Phillips curve that follows is done in two ways, first on a Phillips curve with backward-looking inflation expectations and then a regression with anchored inflation expectations. The results are ambiguous since the regression only found significance for a tradeoff in the Phillips curve with the anchored inflation expectations and not for the backward-looking inflation expectations model which is the more conventional model to use. If we follow the model with the anchored expectations we can see that the tradeoff does exist and that it was strengthened by the financial crash of 2008 in Belgium and Austria. In Sweden however, the only results the regression provided is that a significant Phillips curve correlation is present in the economy.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2018. , p. 37
National Category
Economics
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-37770OAI: oai:DiVA.org:sh-37770DiVA, id: diva2:1292236
Subject / course
Economics
Uppsok
Social and Behavioural Science, Law
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2019-02-28 Created: 2019-02-27 Last updated: 2019-02-28Bibliographically approved

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • harvard-anglia-ruskin-university
  • apa-old-doi-prefix.csl
  • sodertorns-hogskola-harvard.csl
  • sodertorns-hogskola-oxford.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf