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Prediktion av konkurser och betalningssvårigheter: En jämförande studie mellan marknads- och bokslut-baserade konkurs modeller
Södertörn University, School of Social Sciences.
Södertörn University, School of Social Sciences.
2018 (Swedish)Independent thesis Basic level (degree of Bachelor), 10 credits / 15 HE creditsStudent thesis
Abstract [en]

The purpose is to examine the predictability of Byström's market-based model on the Swedish market and compare it with the classic accounting-based Ohlson's logical model.

The study uses a quantitative method for gathering data and the results from the models were analyzed by using the CAP-curve and AR to be able to compare the accuracy of the two different models. Type 1 and Type 2 errors have been defined as two categorization measures to distinguish two types of errors that the models can exhibit.

The result showed that both Byström and Ohlson's calculated high degree of Type 1 error and a few of Type 2 errors. In comparison with each other, Byström's market-based model have a better accuracy than Ohlson's model according toCAP-curve. If the models applied in more than 1 year before the bankruptcy, both models shows a result that is not reliable with a low accuracy.

Place, publisher, year, edition, pages
2018. , p. 42
Keywords [en]
bankruptcy, insolvency, market-based, accounting-based, Merton's default model, Ohlson's logistics model, konkurs, obestånd, marknadsbaserade, redovisningsbaserade, Merton default model, Ohlsons logistik modell
National Category
Economics and Business
Identifiers
URN: urn:nbn:se:sh:diva-37478OAI: oai:DiVA.org:sh-37478DiVA, id: diva2:1283789
Subject / course
Business Studies
Presentation
2019-01-17, MB636, Alfred Nobels allé 7, Huddinge, 20:18 (Swedish)
Uppsok
Social and Behavioural Science, Law
Supervisors
Examiners
Available from: 2019-01-30 Created: 2019-01-29 Last updated: 2019-01-30Bibliographically approved

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Prediktion av konkurser(1397 kB)24 downloads
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6c413b629b473e984ee9966ab516a6b2475c2ac5852d9bd62472ffd86d945653d61295f25cf8d1bfd880451c6be898876d0abdd0b4c1f9e910839f4c1cdd59f6
Type fulltextMimetype application/pdf

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CiteExportLink to record
Permanent link

Direct link
Cite
Citation style
  • apa
  • ieee
  • modern-language-association-8th-edition
  • vancouver
  • harvard-anglia-ruskin-university
  • apa-old-doi-prefix.csl
  • Other style
More styles
Language
  • de-DE
  • en-GB
  • en-US
  • fi-FI
  • nn-NO
  • nn-NB
  • sv-SE
  • Other locale
More languages
Output format
  • html
  • text
  • asciidoc
  • rtf